**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31°C in Taipei on September 18, aligning with the market's leading 47% implied probability for that outcome.** Northeast monsoon flow and moderate easterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, while partly cloudy skies and humidity levels around 70-80% moderate peak temperatures. Recent observations on September 17 showed highs of 29-31°C under similar conditions, with no major synoptic changes or typhoon influences noted in the past 48 hours. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models clusters between 28-32°C, supporting the combined 75.5% probability on 31-32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of ensemble runs and typical early-autumn variability, with resolution hinging on tomorrow's official maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 18 settembre?
31°C 45%
32°C 29%
30°C 18%
33°C 6%
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
45%
32°C
29%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C o superiore
1%
31°C 45%
32°C 29%
30°C 18%
33°C 6%
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
45%
32°C
29%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31°C in Taipei on September 18, aligning with the market's leading 47% implied probability for that outcome.** Northeast monsoon flow and moderate easterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, while partly cloudy skies and humidity levels around 70-80% moderate peak temperatures. Recent observations on September 17 showed highs of 29-31°C under similar conditions, with no major synoptic changes or typhoon influences noted in the past 48 hours. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models clusters between 28-32°C, supporting the combined 75.5% probability on 31-32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of ensemble runs and typical early-autumn variability, with resolution hinging on tomorrow's official maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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