Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
31°C 36%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
29°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
23%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
29°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$234 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$20 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$12 Vol.
36%
32°C
$292 Vol.
26%
33°C
$15 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$573Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$573Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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