Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show Hong Kong highs near 30–31°C on September 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical ridge influence, with sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remaining above normal. This supports market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes, as reduced cloud cover and lighter winds could enhance daytime heating compared with the 1991–2020 climatological mean maximum of 30.8°C. However, model spread on convective activity and any strengthening of the northeast monsoon introduces uncertainty, with showers potentially capping peaks near 31°C. Historical September maxima have trended warmer in recent years due to elevated baseline ocean heat, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects remain key variables traders monitor ahead of final observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 settembre?
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 21%
30°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C o superiore
4%
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 21%
30°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$61 Vol.
19%
31°C
$35 Vol.
24%
32°C
$40 Vol.
26%
33°C
$65 Vol.
28%
34°C
$310 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show Hong Kong highs near 30–31°C on September 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical ridge influence, with sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remaining above normal. This supports market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes, as reduced cloud cover and lighter winds could enhance daytime heating compared with the 1991–2020 climatological mean maximum of 30.8°C. However, model spread on convective activity and any strengthening of the northeast monsoon introduces uncertainty, with showers potentially capping peaks near 31°C. Historical September maxima have trended warmer in recent years due to elevated baseline ocean heat, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects remain key variables traders monitor ahead of final observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$512Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show Hong Kong highs near 30–31°C on September 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical ridge influence, with sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remaining above normal. This supports market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes, as reduced cloud cover and lighter winds could enhance daytime heating compared with the 1991–2020 climatological mean maximum of 30.8°C. However, model spread on convective activity and any strengthening of the northeast monsoon introduces uncertainty, with showers potentially capping peaks near 31°C. Historical September maxima have trended warmer in recent years due to elevated baseline ocean heat, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects remain key variables traders monitor ahead of final observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$512Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show Hong Kong highs near 30–31°C on September 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical ridge influence, with sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remaining above normal. This supports market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes, as reduced cloud cover and lighter winds could enhance daytime heating compared with the 1991–2020 climatological mean maximum of 30.8°C. However, model spread on convective activity and any strengthening of the northeast monsoon introduces uncertainty, with showers potentially capping peaks near 31°C. Historical September maxima have trended warmer in recent years due to elevated baseline ocean heat, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat island effects remain key variables traders monitor ahead of final observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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