Recent numerical weather prediction consensus points to mostly clear skies and light to moderate southerly or northeasterly flow over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28–30 °C as the key driver behind the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C market-implied odds. Coastal marine influence and the seasonal transition toward autumn typically cap peaks below midsummer levels, while subsidence under high pressure and low humidity favor efficient daytime heating. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the narrow gap between those two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher reflecting limited potential for stronger warm advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 14 settembre?
30°C 46%
29°C 37%
31°C 11%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
37%
30°C
46%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
1%
30°C 46%
29°C 37%
31°C 11%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$221 Vol.
1%
25°C
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$83 Vol.
3%
28°C
$34 Vol.
6%
29°C
$71 Vol.
37%
30°C
$109 Vol.
46%
31°C
$364 Vol.
11%
32°C
$25 Vol.
3%
33°C
$31 Vol.
2%
34°C o superiore
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus points to mostly clear skies and light to moderate southerly or northeasterly flow over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28–30 °C as the key driver behind the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C market-implied odds. Coastal marine influence and the seasonal transition toward autumn typically cap peaks below midsummer levels, while subsidence under high pressure and low humidity favor efficient daytime heating. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the narrow gap between those two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher reflecting limited potential for stronger warm advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$1,131Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus points to mostly clear skies and light to moderate southerly or northeasterly flow over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28–30 °C as the key driver behind the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C market-implied odds. Coastal marine influence and the seasonal transition toward autumn typically cap peaks below midsummer levels, while subsidence under high pressure and low humidity favor efficient daytime heating. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the narrow gap between those two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher reflecting limited potential for stronger warm advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,131Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus points to mostly clear skies and light to moderate southerly or northeasterly flow over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 28–30 °C as the key driver behind the closely matched 29 °C and 30 °C market-implied odds. Coastal marine influence and the seasonal transition toward autumn typically cap peaks below midsummer levels, while subsidence under high pressure and low humidity favor efficient daytime heating. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the narrow gap between those two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31 °C or higher reflecting limited potential for stronger warm advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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