**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 14, driven by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and typical mid-September radiative cooling under partly cloudy, post-rain conditions.** This aligns with climatological averages of 12–13°C lows during the rainy season, when afternoon thunderstorms often limit extreme cooling. Recent model runs show stable high temperatures of 22–24°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push minima significantly lower. Market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance or potential for localized urban effects, while probabilities clustered around 12–16°C capture the narrower expected range. Updated short-range forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 14 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 100%
17°C o superiore 47%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
100%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C o superiore
47%
7°C o inferiore 100%
17°C o superiore 47%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
100%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 14, driven by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and typical mid-September radiative cooling under partly cloudy, post-rain conditions.**
This aligns with climatological averages of 12–13°C lows during the rainy season, when afternoon thunderstorms often limit extreme cooling. Recent model runs show stable high temperatures of 22–24°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push minima significantly lower. Market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance or potential for localized urban effects, while probabilities clustered around 12–16°C capture the narrower expected range. Updated short-range forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 14, driven by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and typical mid-September radiative cooling under partly cloudy, post-rain conditions.**
This aligns with climatological averages of 12–13°C lows during the rainy season, when afternoon thunderstorms often limit extreme cooling. Recent model runs show stable high temperatures of 22–24°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push minima significantly lower. Market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance or potential for localized urban effects, while probabilities clustered around 12–16°C capture the narrower expected range. Updated short-range forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 14, driven by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and typical mid-September radiative cooling under partly cloudy, post-rain conditions.** This aligns with climatological averages of 12–13°C lows during the rainy season, when afternoon thunderstorms often limit extreme cooling. Recent model runs show stable high temperatures of 22–24°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push minima significantly lower. Market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below likely reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance or potential for localized urban effects, while probabilities clustered around 12–16°C capture the narrower expected range. Updated short-range forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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