Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Warsaw's September 12 high near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly flow and minimal cloud cover, keeping diurnal warming moderate after cooler overnight lows around 12–14°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 19°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 20°C sits at 29%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September baselines near 16–18°C. Dry conditions and limited frontal activity reduce upside risks above 21°C, while the narrow 18–20°C cluster accounts for most forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's official IMGW observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 12 settembre?
19°C 47%
20°C 31%
18°C 14%
17°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
47%
20°C
31%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 47%
20°C 31%
18°C 14%
17°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$170 Vol.
1%
16°C
$31 Vol.
2%
17°C
$122 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,092 Vol.
14%
19°C
$677 Vol.
47%
20°C
$1,780 Vol.
31%
21°C
$300 Vol.
2%
22°C
$48 Vol.
2%
23°C
$145 Vol.
1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
25°C o superiore
$437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Warsaw's September 12 high near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly flow and minimal cloud cover, keeping diurnal warming moderate after cooler overnight lows around 12–14°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 19°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 20°C sits at 29%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September baselines near 16–18°C. Dry conditions and limited frontal activity reduce upside risks above 21°C, while the narrow 18–20°C cluster accounts for most forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,907Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Warsaw's September 12 high near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly flow and minimal cloud cover, keeping diurnal warming moderate after cooler overnight lows around 12–14°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 19°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 20°C sits at 29%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September baselines near 16–18°C. Dry conditions and limited frontal activity reduce upside risks above 21°C, while the narrow 18–20°C cluster accounts for most forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,907Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Warsaw's September 12 high near 19–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly flow and minimal cloud cover, keeping diurnal warming moderate after cooler overnight lows around 12–14°C. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 19°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 20°C sits at 29%, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and historical September baselines near 16–18°C. Dry conditions and limited frontal activity reduce upside risks above 21°C, while the narrow 18–20°C cluster accounts for most forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's official IMGW observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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