Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicate a northerly flow of cooler air arriving Sunday night, driving trader consensus toward a low of 53°F or below as the most probable outcome for Chicago. This reflects a shift from recent above-average conditions, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping into the mid-50s amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Historical averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with early autumn cooling episodes that have produced similar readings in past Septembers. Key variables include exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which could moderate or enhance radiative cooling; updated model runs overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 13 settembre?
53°F o inferiore 60%
72°F o superiore 60%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
53°F o inferiore
60%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72°F o superiore
60%
53°F o inferiore 60%
72°F o superiore 60%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
53°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
60%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
39%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
29%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicate a northerly flow of cooler air arriving Sunday night, driving trader consensus toward a low of 53°F or below as the most probable outcome for Chicago. This reflects a shift from recent above-average conditions, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping into the mid-50s amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Historical averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with early autumn cooling episodes that have produced similar readings in past Septembers. Key variables include exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which could moderate or enhance radiative cooling; updated model runs overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicate a northerly flow of cooler air arriving Sunday night, driving trader consensus toward a low of 53°F or below as the most probable outcome for Chicago. This reflects a shift from recent above-average conditions, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping into the mid-50s amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Historical averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with early autumn cooling episodes that have produced similar readings in past Septembers. Key variables include exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which could moderate or enhance radiative cooling; updated model runs overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicate a northerly flow of cooler air arriving Sunday night, driving trader consensus toward a low of 53°F or below as the most probable outcome for Chicago. This reflects a shift from recent above-average conditions, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping into the mid-50s amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Historical averages near 60°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with early autumn cooling episodes that have produced similar readings in past Septembers. Key variables include exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which could moderate or enhance radiative cooling; updated model runs overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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