Recent forecasts from New Zealand meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on September 12 likely reaching 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds transitioning to northerly, consistent with early spring climatology where average highs hover near 12–13°C. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome over 14°C as observational data through midday show readings clustered around 11–12°C amid stable high pressure and limited warming from clear periods. Model agreement on modest diurnal rise, influenced by coastal breezes and no significant frontal activity, underpins the 70.5% implied probability for 13°C while assigning lower odds to outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 12 settembre?
13°C 90%
14°C 15%
15°C 3%
16°C <1%
NUOVO
$40,054 Vol.
NUOVO
$40,054 Vol.
12 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
83%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
13°C 90%
14°C 15%
15°C 3%
16°C <1%
NUOVO
$40,054 Vol.
NUOVO
$40,054 Vol.
12 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$10,212 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$8,286 Vol.
83%
14°C
$7,816 Vol.
15%
15°C
$7,162 Vol.
3%
16°C
$2,377 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,566 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superiore
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from New Zealand meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on September 12 likely reaching 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds transitioning to northerly, consistent with early spring climatology where average highs hover near 12–13°C. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome over 14°C as observational data through midday show readings clustered around 11–12°C amid stable high pressure and limited warming from clear periods. Model agreement on modest diurnal rise, influenced by coastal breezes and no significant frontal activity, underpins the 70.5% implied probability for 13°C while assigning lower odds to outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40,054Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from New Zealand meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on September 12 likely reaching 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds transitioning to northerly, consistent with early spring climatology where average highs hover near 12–13°C. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome over 14°C as observational data through midday show readings clustered around 11–12°C amid stable high pressure and limited warming from clear periods. Model agreement on modest diurnal rise, influenced by coastal breezes and no significant frontal activity, underpins the 70.5% implied probability for 13°C while assigning lower odds to outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,054Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from New Zealand meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on September 12 likely reaching 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds transitioning to northerly, consistent with early spring climatology where average highs hover near 12–13°C. Trader consensus heavily favors this outcome over 14°C as observational data through midday show readings clustered around 11–12°C amid stable high pressure and limited warming from clear periods. Model agreement on modest diurnal rise, influenced by coastal breezes and no significant frontal activity, underpins the 70.5% implied probability for 13°C while assigning lower odds to outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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