Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 13 point to a typical late-summer marine layer with onshore westerly flow holding daytime highs near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F. Multiple forecasts converge on 68–72°F under mostly sunny skies and breezy conditions, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–71°F bin. A brief early-September heat spell peaked at 94°F on the 9th but has since moderated, reducing upside risk. Traders appear to discount higher outliers given persistent northwest winds and the low probability of offshore flow or clear-sky amplification before resolution. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 13 settembre?
70-71°F 60%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 14%
74-75°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
60%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 60%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 14%
74-75°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
$240 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$77 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$14 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$37 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$389 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$1,321 Vol.
60%
72-73°F
$295 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$53 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$61 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$14 Vol.
1%
80°F o superiore
$14 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 13 point to a typical late-summer marine layer with onshore westerly flow holding daytime highs near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F. Multiple forecasts converge on 68–72°F under mostly sunny skies and breezy conditions, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–71°F bin. A brief early-September heat spell peaked at 94°F on the 9th but has since moderated, reducing upside risk. Traders appear to discount higher outliers given persistent northwest winds and the low probability of offshore flow or clear-sky amplification before resolution. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,514Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 13 point to a typical late-summer marine layer with onshore westerly flow holding daytime highs near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F. Multiple forecasts converge on 68–72°F under mostly sunny skies and breezy conditions, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–71°F bin. A brief early-September heat spell peaked at 94°F on the 9th but has since moderated, reducing upside risk. Traders appear to discount higher outliers given persistent northwest winds and the low probability of offshore flow or clear-sky amplification before resolution. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,514Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on September 13 point to a typical late-summer marine layer with onshore westerly flow holding daytime highs near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.8°F. Multiple forecasts converge on 68–72°F under mostly sunny skies and breezy conditions, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–71°F bin. A brief early-September heat spell peaked at 94°F on the 9th but has since moderated, reducing upside risk. Traders appear to discount higher outliers given persistent northwest winds and the low probability of offshore flow or clear-sky amplification before resolution. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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