**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 12 settembre?
32°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,818 Vol.
$34,818 Vol.
12 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,818 Vol.
$34,818 Vol.
12 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$189 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,400 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$932 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,985 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,348 Vol.
100%
33°C
$6,105 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,057 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,993 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$34,818Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,818Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 32°C high in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, aligns with operational forecasts showing a daily maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.3°C.** Current observations indicate mostly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points supporting temperatures in the low 30s°C, with models such as ECMWF and GFS maintaining this range through afternoon peak heating. This positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical for a date when steering patterns and moisture limit extreme departures. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or rapid clearing that allows additional insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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