Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a likely daily maximum near 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 12, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light rain reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below late-summer climatological averages near 25–27°C. Light northeasterly winds and high humidity further moderate daytime peaks. With probabilities split between 23°C and 24°C, traders weigh slight differences in model timing of any clearing or shower intensity; final resolution depends on the official highest instantaneous reading reported for the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 12 settembre?
24°C 39%
23°C 36%
25°C 13%
22°C 13%
$26,254 Vol.
$26,254 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
36%
24°C
39%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 36%
25°C 13%
22°C 13%
$26,254 Vol.
$26,254 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
36%
24°C
39%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a likely daily maximum near 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 12, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light rain reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures below late-summer climatological averages near 25–27°C. Light northeasterly winds and high humidity further moderate daytime peaks. With probabilities split between 23°C and 24°C, traders weigh slight differences in model timing of any clearing or shower intensity; final resolution depends on the official highest instantaneous reading reported for the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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