Traders price 19°C and 18°C outcomes highest amid converging forecasts for Chengdu’s September 12 low between 15–19°C, reflecting model consensus on overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60–80% humidity that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and possible light rain further moderates the diurnal range, keeping minimums near seasonal norms rather than allowing sharper drops below 15°C. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread on steering patterns, though slight revisions in boundary-layer moisture could still shift the final observed low by 1–2°C before midnight resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 12 settembre?
19°C 99%
14°C o inferiore 97%
17°C 6%
16°C 3%
$541 Vol.
$541 Vol.
12 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
97%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 99%
14°C o inferiore 97%
17°C 6%
16°C 3%
$541 Vol.
$541 Vol.
12 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
97%
15°C
$45 Vol.
1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
3%
17°C
$6 Vol.
6%
18°C
$121 Vol.
2%
19°C
$219 Vol.
99%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 19°C and 18°C outcomes highest amid converging forecasts for Chengdu’s September 12 low between 15–19°C, reflecting model consensus on overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60–80% humidity that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and possible light rain further moderates the diurnal range, keeping minimums near seasonal norms rather than allowing sharper drops below 15°C. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread on steering patterns, though slight revisions in boundary-layer moisture could still shift the final observed low by 1–2°C before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$541Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 19°C and 18°C outcomes highest amid converging forecasts for Chengdu’s September 12 low between 15–19°C, reflecting model consensus on overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60–80% humidity that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and possible light rain further moderates the diurnal range, keeping minimums near seasonal norms rather than allowing sharper drops below 15°C. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread on steering patterns, though slight revisions in boundary-layer moisture could still shift the final observed low by 1–2°C before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$541Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders price 19°C and 18°C outcomes highest amid converging forecasts for Chengdu’s September 12 low between 15–19°C, reflecting model consensus on overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60–80% humidity that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover from regional moisture and possible light rain further moderates the diurnal range, keeping minimums near seasonal norms rather than allowing sharper drops below 15°C. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread on steering patterns, though slight revisions in boundary-layer moisture could still shift the final observed low by 1–2°C before midnight resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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