Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 14 settembre?
6°C o inferiore 100%
16°C o superiore 86%
12°C 46%
8°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C o superiore
86%
6°C o inferiore 100%
16°C o superiore 86%
12°C 46%
8°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
100%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$12 Vol.
46%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C o superiore
$34 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$46Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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