**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature for Toronto on September 12 around 15–16°C, consistent with the historical average low of 14.5°C for the date.** Clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight, light southerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens support modest radiative cooling without significant cold advection. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C, as traders weigh the potential for a slightly cooler reading if skies clear more than expected or winds remain light. The next high-resolution model updates and early-morning observations will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Toronto il 12 settembre?
10°C o inferiore 100%
14°C 34%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
10°C o inferiore
100%
11°C
18%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
19%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
10°C o inferiore 100%
14°C 34%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
10°C o inferiore
100%
11°C
18%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
19%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature for Toronto on September 12 around 15–16°C, consistent with the historical average low of 14.5°C for the date.** Clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight, light southerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens support modest radiative cooling without significant cold advection. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C, as traders weigh the potential for a slightly cooler reading if skies clear more than expected or winds remain light. The next high-resolution model updates and early-morning observations will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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