Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s overnight minimum on September 14 near 13–15 °C under light southerly flow and variable cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains split between the sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus tails because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, low-level moisture, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface heat loss and readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or modest advection would keep temperatures closer to 16–18 °C. The next high-resolution model updates and Polish Institute of Meteorology guidance expected within 24 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 14 settembre?
9°C o inferiore 79%
19°C o superiore 79%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
79%
10°C
17%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C
24%
15°C
19%
16°C
39%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C o superiore
79%
9°C o inferiore 79%
19°C o superiore 79%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$45 Vol.
79%
10°C
$40 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15°C
$55 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s overnight minimum on September 14 near 13–15 °C under light southerly flow and variable cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains split between the sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus tails because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, low-level moisture, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface heat loss and readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or modest advection would keep temperatures closer to 16–18 °C. The next high-resolution model updates and Polish Institute of Meteorology guidance expected within 24 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$141Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s overnight minimum on September 14 near 13–15 °C under light southerly flow and variable cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains split between the sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus tails because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, low-level moisture, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface heat loss and readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or modest advection would keep temperatures closer to 16–18 °C. The next high-resolution model updates and Polish Institute of Meteorology guidance expected within 24 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s overnight minimum on September 14 near 13–15 °C under light southerly flow and variable cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains split between the sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus tails because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, low-level moisture, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the low by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions favor stronger surface heat loss and readings near or below 11 °C, while increased cloudiness or modest advection would keep temperatures closer to 16–18 °C. The next high-resolution model updates and Polish Institute of Meteorology guidance expected within 24 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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