Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 13 centered on 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (43%), 19°C (26.5%), and 21°C (23%), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spreads that rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 18°C in the current setup. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal September baselines near 18–20°C reinforce the narrow probability distribution, with any notable shift likely tied to the next model update cycle rather than abrupt atmospheric changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 13 settembre?
20°C 43%
21°C 30%
19°C 22%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
14°C o meno
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
7%
19°C
22%
20°C
43%
21°C
30%
22°C
9%
23°C
8%
24°C o superiore
3%
20°C 43%
21°C 30%
19°C 22%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
14°C o meno
$8 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$11 Vol.
7%
19°C
$30 Vol.
22%
20°C
$165 Vol.
43%
21°C
$8 Vol.
30%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 13 centered on 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (43%), 19°C (26.5%), and 21°C (23%), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spreads that rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 18°C in the current setup. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal September baselines near 18–20°C reinforce the narrow probability distribution, with any notable shift likely tied to the next model update cycle rather than abrupt atmospheric changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$233Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 13 centered on 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (43%), 19°C (26.5%), and 21°C (23%), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spreads that rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 18°C in the current setup. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal September baselines near 18–20°C reinforce the narrow probability distribution, with any notable shift likely tied to the next model update cycle rather than abrupt atmospheric changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$233Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 13 centered on 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (43%), 19°C (26.5%), and 21°C (23%), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble spreads that rarely exceed 22°C or fall below 18°C in the current setup. Stable high-pressure influence and seasonal September baselines near 18–20°C reinforce the narrow probability distribution, with any notable shift likely tied to the next model update cycle rather than abrupt atmospheric changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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