Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate an afternoon peak near 32–33°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with northeasterly winds around 5–7 m/s and low precipitation chances keeping conditions stable. Official model runs and station data show temperatures climbing through the 30s midday before easing, consistent with September climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds reflects minor differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects across monitoring sites, and slight variations among numerical weather models regarding exact maximum readings. Updated observations later today will determine whether the high edges to 33°C or stays at 32°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen l'11 settembre?
33°C 99.5%
34°C 1.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
$32,930 Vol.
$32,930 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 99.5%
34°C 1.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
$32,930 Vol.
$32,930 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate an afternoon peak near 32–33°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with northeasterly winds around 5–7 m/s and low precipitation chances keeping conditions stable. Official model runs and station data show temperatures climbing through the 30s midday before easing, consistent with September climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds reflects minor differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects across monitoring sites, and slight variations among numerical weather models regarding exact maximum readings. Updated observations later today will determine whether the high edges to 33°C or stays at 32°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti