Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rain has sharply reduced Chengdu's temperatures ahead of September 11, shifting the baseline downward from prior highs above 30°C. Official forecasts converge on a highest temperature of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions, with limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in expected cloud thickness and any late-day clearing that could allow modest additional warming toward 26°C, while stronger lingering moisture or thicker overcast favors the lower end near 23°C. Historical September variability in the Sichuan Basin supports this narrow range around the seasonal norm once cold air dominates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu l'11 settembre?
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
26°C 16%
23°C 12%
20°C o inferiore
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
12%
24°C
20%
25°C
24%
26°C
16%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
26°C 16%
23°C 12%
20°C o inferiore
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
12%
24°C
20%
25°C
24%
26°C
16%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and widespread rain has sharply reduced Chengdu's temperatures ahead of September 11, shifting the baseline downward from prior highs above 30°C. Official forecasts converge on a highest temperature of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions, with limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in expected cloud thickness and any late-day clearing that could allow modest additional warming toward 26°C, while stronger lingering moisture or thicker overcast favors the lower end near 23°C. Historical September variability in the Sichuan Basin supports this narrow range around the seasonal norm once cold air dominates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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