**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on September 9, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 96%.** This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency, showing afternoon highs near 30–33°C amid southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms that cap daytime warming. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with probabilities near 90–100% during peak heating hours, align with typical late-summer conditions where maximum temperatures rarely exceed early-September averages. Historical analogs and ensemble model runs reinforce this narrow range, as stronger subtropical ridging or delayed rain would be needed to push readings higher. A rapid clearing trend or underestimated insolation could still shift the outcome toward 32°C or above before evening, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 9 settembre?
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
35°C o superiore <1%
$57,587 Vol.
$57,587 Vol.
9 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
35°C o superiore <1%
$57,587 Vol.
$57,587 Vol.
9 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$5,563 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,274 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,549 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,045 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,438 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,405 Vol.
99%
32°C
$7,701 Vol.
2%
33°C
$5,596 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,695 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$2,098 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on September 9, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 96%.** This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency, showing afternoon highs near 30–33°C amid southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms that cap daytime warming. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with probabilities near 90–100% during peak heating hours, align with typical late-summer conditions where maximum temperatures rarely exceed early-September averages. Historical analogs and ensemble model runs reinforce this narrow range, as stronger subtropical ridging or delayed rain would be needed to push readings higher. A rapid clearing trend or underestimated insolation could still shift the outcome toward 32°C or above before evening, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$57,587Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on September 9, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 96%.** This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency, showing afternoon highs near 30–33°C amid southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms that cap daytime warming. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with probabilities near 90–100% during peak heating hours, align with typical late-summer conditions where maximum temperatures rarely exceed early-September averages. Historical analogs and ensemble model runs reinforce this narrow range, as stronger subtropical ridging or delayed rain would be needed to push readings higher. A rapid clearing trend or underestimated insolation could still shift the outcome toward 32°C or above before evening, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,587Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on September 9, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 96%.** This positioning reflects official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency, showing afternoon highs near 30–33°C amid southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms that cap daytime warming. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with probabilities near 90–100% during peak heating hours, align with typical late-summer conditions where maximum temperatures rarely exceed early-September averages. Historical analogs and ensemble model runs reinforce this narrow range, as stronger subtropical ridging or delayed rain would be needed to push readings higher. A rapid clearing trend or underestimated insolation could still shift the outcome toward 32°C or above before evening, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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