**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather, local Chinese weather services, and international models, converge on a September 9 high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen.** This positions 32°C as the leading market outcome (37% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (26.5%) and 31°C (19%). Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September typically features daytime highs near the long-term average of ~31°C, moderated by high humidity, easterly winds, and frequent afternoon showers. Current conditions show September 8 reaching 33–34°C under clearer skies, but incoming moisture and scattered rain on the 9th are expected to limit further warming. Official guidance highlights cloud cover and precipitation (often 40–89% chance in forecasts) that caps peak temperatures while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus and recent observations support the tight clustering around 32°C rather than extremes, as steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor typical late-summer warmth without exceptional heat buildup. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 9 settembre?
32°C 37%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
37%
33°C
27%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$137 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$384 Vol.
3%
29°C
$173 Vol.
3%
30°C
$505 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,302 Vol.
19%
32°C
$648 Vol.
37%
33°C
$480 Vol.
27%
34°C
$163 Vol.
7%
35°C
$558 Vol.
1%
36°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather, local Chinese weather services, and international models, converge on a September 9 high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen.** This positions 32°C as the leading market outcome (37% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (26.5%) and 31°C (19%).
Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September typically features daytime highs near the long-term average of ~31°C, moderated by high humidity, easterly winds, and frequent afternoon showers. Current conditions show September 8 reaching 33–34°C under clearer skies, but incoming moisture and scattered rain on the 9th are expected to limit further warming. Official guidance highlights cloud cover and precipitation (often 40–89% chance in forecasts) that caps peak temperatures while preventing sharp drops.
Model consensus and recent observations support the tight clustering around 32°C rather than extremes, as steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor typical late-summer warmth without exceptional heat buildup. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,318Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather, local Chinese weather services, and international models, converge on a September 9 high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen.** This positions 32°C as the leading market outcome (37% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (26.5%) and 31°C (19%).
Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September typically features daytime highs near the long-term average of ~31°C, moderated by high humidity, easterly winds, and frequent afternoon showers. Current conditions show September 8 reaching 33–34°C under clearer skies, but incoming moisture and scattered rain on the 9th are expected to limit further warming. Official guidance highlights cloud cover and precipitation (often 40–89% chance in forecasts) that caps peak temperatures while preventing sharp drops.
Model consensus and recent observations support the tight clustering around 32°C rather than extremes, as steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor typical late-summer warmth without exceptional heat buildup. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,318Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather, local Chinese weather services, and international models, converge on a September 9 high of 31–33°C for Shenzhen.** This positions 32°C as the leading market outcome (37% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (26.5%) and 31°C (19%). Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September typically features daytime highs near the long-term average of ~31°C, moderated by high humidity, easterly winds, and frequent afternoon showers. Current conditions show September 8 reaching 33–34°C under clearer skies, but incoming moisture and scattered rain on the 9th are expected to limit further warming. Official guidance highlights cloud cover and precipitation (often 40–89% chance in forecasts) that caps peak temperatures while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus and recent observations support the tight clustering around 32°C rather than extremes, as steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor typical late-summer warmth without exceptional heat buildup. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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