**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover with widespread rain are capping daytime heating in Manila, keeping the market-implied odds centered on a 28–30 °C peak for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum near 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a near-100 % precipitation probability, with light-to-moderate southwest winds limiting surface warming. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to localized breaks in cloudiness or model underestimation of insolation, pushing 29 °C and 30 °C into the lead while discounting higher values. Historical September climatology shows typical highs of 30–31 °C, but the current monsoon regime has produced cooler readings in recent days. The next PAGASA update and fresh high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signals before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 10 settembre?
30°C 32%
29°C 28%
31°C 15%
28°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
28%
30°C
32%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 28%
31°C 15%
28°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$566 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$204 Vol.
2%
26°C
$392 Vol.
2%
27°C
$79 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,687 Vol.
14%
29°C
$2,334 Vol.
28%
30°C
$378 Vol.
32%
31°C
$1,677 Vol.
15%
32°C
$234 Vol.
3%
33°C
$88 Vol.
1%
34°C o superiore
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover with widespread rain are capping daytime heating in Manila, keeping the market-implied odds centered on a 28–30 °C peak for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum near 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a near-100 % precipitation probability, with light-to-moderate southwest winds limiting surface warming. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to localized breaks in cloudiness or model underestimation of insolation, pushing 29 °C and 30 °C into the lead while discounting higher values. Historical September climatology shows typical highs of 30–31 °C, but the current monsoon regime has produced cooler readings in recent days. The next PAGASA update and fresh high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signals before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,839Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover with widespread rain are capping daytime heating in Manila, keeping the market-implied odds centered on a 28–30 °C peak for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum near 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a near-100 % precipitation probability, with light-to-moderate southwest winds limiting surface warming. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to localized breaks in cloudiness or model underestimation of insolation, pushing 29 °C and 30 °C into the lead while discounting higher values. Historical September climatology shows typical highs of 30–31 °C, but the current monsoon regime has produced cooler readings in recent days. The next PAGASA update and fresh high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signals before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,839Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover with widespread rain are capping daytime heating in Manila, keeping the market-implied odds centered on a 28–30 °C peak for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum near 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and a near-100 % precipitation probability, with light-to-moderate southwest winds limiting surface warming. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to localized breaks in cloudiness or model underestimation of insolation, pushing 29 °C and 30 °C into the lead while discounting higher values. Historical September climatology shows typical highs of 30–31 °C, but the current monsoon regime has produced cooler readings in recent days. The next PAGASA update and fresh high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signals before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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