Recent forecasts from KNMI and global models indicate a high near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 9, driven by a westerly Atlantic flow with showers and northwest winds of 15–17 mph that limit daytime heating. This follows a sharp cooldown after 26.5°C on September 7, with Tuesday’s rain further suppressing temperatures. The 18–19°C outcomes dominate trader consensus because ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range, though minor timing shifts in showers or wind could allow a brief push toward 19°C. Historical September 9 averages near 20°C provide context, but the current pattern favors the lower end of normal. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 9 settembre?
18°C 45%
19°C 34%
17°C 10%
20°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
45%
19°C
34%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
1%
18°C 45%
19°C 34%
17°C 10%
20°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$114 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$195 Vol.
2%
16°C
$48 Vol.
4%
17°C
$323 Vol.
10%
18°C
$482 Vol.
45%
19°C
$214 Vol.
34%
20°C
$69 Vol.
7%
21°C
$15 Vol.
2%
22°C o superiore
$72 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from KNMI and global models indicate a high near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 9, driven by a westerly Atlantic flow with showers and northwest winds of 15–17 mph that limit daytime heating. This follows a sharp cooldown after 26.5°C on September 7, with Tuesday’s rain further suppressing temperatures. The 18–19°C outcomes dominate trader consensus because ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range, though minor timing shifts in showers or wind could allow a brief push toward 19°C. Historical September 9 averages near 20°C provide context, but the current pattern favors the lower end of normal. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,571Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from KNMI and global models indicate a high near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 9, driven by a westerly Atlantic flow with showers and northwest winds of 15–17 mph that limit daytime heating. This follows a sharp cooldown after 26.5°C on September 7, with Tuesday’s rain further suppressing temperatures. The 18–19°C outcomes dominate trader consensus because ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range, though minor timing shifts in showers or wind could allow a brief push toward 19°C. Historical September 9 averages near 20°C provide context, but the current pattern favors the lower end of normal. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,571Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from KNMI and global models indicate a high near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 9, driven by a westerly Atlantic flow with showers and northwest winds of 15–17 mph that limit daytime heating. This follows a sharp cooldown after 26.5°C on September 7, with Tuesday’s rain further suppressing temperatures. The 18–19°C outcomes dominate trader consensus because ensemble guidance clusters in that narrow range, though minor timing shifts in showers or wind could allow a brief push toward 19°C. Historical September 9 averages near 20°C provide context, but the current pattern favors the lower end of normal. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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