Recent numerical weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, aligned with AEMET guidance, points to clear skies and moderate southwesterly winds supporting a Madrid peak near 36–37 °C on September 7. This reflects persistent high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, with the city’s 655 m elevation and urban heat island modestly amplifying readings. The implied probabilities favor 37 °C slightly over 38 °C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from adiabatic warming or wind shifts, while 36 °C remains possible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens earlier than expected. Values remain well above the late-summer climatological average of 28.5 °C yet safely below the 38.5 °C record set in 2016. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 7 settembre?
37°C 52%
38°C 43%
36°C 7%
35°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
34°C o inferiore
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
7%
37°C
52%
38°C
43%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o superiore
1%
37°C 52%
38°C 43%
36°C 7%
35°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
34°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$5 Vol.
7%
37°C
$248 Vol.
52%
38°C
$51 Vol.
43%
39°C
$15 Vol.
5%
40°C
$0 Vol.
2%
41°C
$0 Vol.
2%
42°C
$5 Vol.
1%
43°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
44°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, aligned with AEMET guidance, points to clear skies and moderate southwesterly winds supporting a Madrid peak near 36–37 °C on September 7. This reflects persistent high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, with the city’s 655 m elevation and urban heat island modestly amplifying readings. The implied probabilities favor 37 °C slightly over 38 °C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from adiabatic warming or wind shifts, while 36 °C remains possible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens earlier than expected. Values remain well above the late-summer climatological average of 28.5 °C yet safely below the 38.5 °C record set in 2016. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$334Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, aligned with AEMET guidance, points to clear skies and moderate southwesterly winds supporting a Madrid peak near 36–37 °C on September 7. This reflects persistent high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, with the city’s 655 m elevation and urban heat island modestly amplifying readings. The implied probabilities favor 37 °C slightly over 38 °C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from adiabatic warming or wind shifts, while 36 °C remains possible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens earlier than expected. Values remain well above the late-summer climatological average of 28.5 °C yet safely below the 38.5 °C record set in 2016. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$334Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, aligned with AEMET guidance, points to clear skies and moderate southwesterly winds supporting a Madrid peak near 36–37 °C on September 7. This reflects persistent high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, with the city’s 655 m elevation and urban heat island modestly amplifying readings. The implied probabilities favor 37 °C slightly over 38 °C because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential from adiabatic warming or wind shifts, while 36 °C remains possible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens earlier than expected. Values remain well above the late-summer climatological average of 28.5 °C yet safely below the 38.5 °C record set in 2016. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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