**Short-term forecast uncertainty from convective activity and southwesterly flow is the main driver keeping 31–33°C outcomes tightly bunched in the market.** Multiple models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 5 that could cap peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals might allow temperatures to reach the low 30s. El Niño-enhanced warmth has supported above-normal conditions across the region, consistent with historical September averages near 30–31.5°C in Taipei. Upcoming CWA updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 5 settembre?
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 29%
30°C 21%
25°C o inferiore
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
21%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C o superiore
6%
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 29%
30°C 21%
25°C o inferiore
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
21%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C o superiore
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast uncertainty from convective activity and southwesterly flow is the main driver keeping 31–33°C outcomes tightly bunched in the market.** Multiple models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 5 that could cap peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals might allow temperatures to reach the low 30s. El Niño-enhanced warmth has supported above-normal conditions across the region, consistent with historical September averages near 30–31.5°C in Taipei. Upcoming CWA updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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