Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild spring day in Wellington driven by northwesterly flow, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This pattern, typical for early September in the region, favors slightly above-average temperatures but limits strong warming due to persistent onshore breezes and potential for scattered showers. The near-even market split between 16 °C and 17 °C reflects model uncertainty in peak values, which hinge on exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, and any brief clearing periods that could allow brief spikes. Updated runs from agencies such as MetService or the UK Met Office over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 3 settembre?
16°C 45%
17°C 44%
18°C 7%
15°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
45%
17°C
44%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
17°C 44%
18°C 7%
15°C 4%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
45%
17°C
44%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild spring day in Wellington driven by northwesterly flow, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This pattern, typical for early September in the region, favors slightly above-average temperatures but limits strong warming due to persistent onshore breezes and potential for scattered showers. The near-even market split between 16 °C and 17 °C reflects model uncertainty in peak values, which hinge on exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, and any brief clearing periods that could allow brief spikes. Updated runs from agencies such as MetService or the UK Met Office over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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