Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Taipei on September 1, driven by a broad low-pressure system and moisture influx that limits daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered in the 28–31°C range, aligning with the balanced 25% market-implied odds on each of those outcomes, while sharply curtailing chances for 32°C or higher. Key differentiating variables include the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer conditions, along with easterly flow and high humidity that moderate surface warming. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 1° settembre?
29°C 47%
30°C 47%
28°C 40%
33°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
40%
29°C
47%
30°C
47%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
26%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
29°C 47%
30°C 47%
28°C 40%
33°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
47%
30°C
$0 Vol.
47%
31°C
$5 Vol.
16%
32°C
$10 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Taipei on September 1, driven by a broad low-pressure system and moisture influx that limits daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered in the 28–31°C range, aligning with the balanced 25% market-implied odds on each of those outcomes, while sharply curtailing chances for 32°C or higher. Key differentiating variables include the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer conditions, along with easterly flow and high humidity that moderate surface warming. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Taipei on September 1, driven by a broad low-pressure system and moisture influx that limits daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered in the 28–31°C range, aligning with the balanced 25% market-implied odds on each of those outcomes, while sharply curtailing chances for 32°C or higher. Key differentiating variables include the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer conditions, along with easterly flow and high humidity that moderate surface warming. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Taipei on September 1, driven by a broad low-pressure system and moisture influx that limits daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered in the 28–31°C range, aligning with the balanced 25% market-implied odds on each of those outcomes, while sharply curtailing chances for 32°C or higher. Key differentiating variables include the timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress peaks by 2–4°C compared to clearer conditions, along with easterly flow and high humidity that moderate surface warming. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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