Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models position daily maximum temperatures in Panamá City near 28–30°C on September 3, consistent with the long-term September average high of approximately 29°C amid the wet season’s typical convective regime. A weak El Niño currently under way in the equatorial Pacific tends to suppress regional rainfall while exerting modest warming influence through altered moisture transport and subsidence patterns, supporting the market’s emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the isthmus during this period, introduce variability in peak readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours, alongside any revisions to local humidity or wind fields, represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 3 settembre?
32°C 44%
31°C 25%
33°C o superiore 18%
30°C 16%
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
25%
32°C
44%
33°C o superiore
18%
32°C 44%
31°C 25%
33°C o superiore 18%
30°C 16%
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
25%
32°C
44%
33°C o superiore
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models position daily maximum temperatures in Panamá City near 28–30°C on September 3, consistent with the long-term September average high of approximately 29°C amid the wet season’s typical convective regime. A weak El Niño currently under way in the equatorial Pacific tends to suppress regional rainfall while exerting modest warming influence through altered moisture transport and subsidence patterns, supporting the market’s emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the isthmus during this period, introduce variability in peak readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours, alongside any revisions to local humidity or wind fields, represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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