**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C maximum (61% implied probability) for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, with 29°C a distant second at 32%.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h are suppressing daytime heating and limiting solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the long-term September 1 average maximum of 31.2°C recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show afternoon peaks clustered between 27–29°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and dew points near 24–25°C, which further dampen the diurnal temperature range. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler, unsettled regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow readings near or above 30°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations; any late-day clearing could nudge the outcome toward 29°C, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support the market’s leading outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 1° settembre?
28°C 75%
29°C 22%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
NUOVO
$48,395 Vol.
NUOVO
$48,395 Vol.
1 set 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
75%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 75%
29°C 22%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
NUOVO
$48,395 Vol.
NUOVO
$48,395 Vol.
1 set 2026
25°C or below
$5,393 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$17,446 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,683 Vol.
75%
29°C
$5,512 Vol.
22%
30°C
$3,638 Vol.
2%
31°C
$4,094 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,162 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,540 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C maximum (61% implied probability) for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, with 29°C a distant second at 32%.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h are suppressing daytime heating and limiting solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the long-term September 1 average maximum of 31.2°C recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show afternoon peaks clustered between 27–29°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and dew points near 24–25°C, which further dampen the diurnal temperature range. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler, unsettled regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow readings near or above 30°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations; any late-day clearing could nudge the outcome toward 29°C, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support the market’s leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$48,395Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C maximum (61% implied probability) for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, with 29°C a distant second at 32%.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h are suppressing daytime heating and limiting solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the long-term September 1 average maximum of 31.2°C recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show afternoon peaks clustered between 27–29°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and dew points near 24–25°C, which further dampen the diurnal temperature range. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler, unsettled regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow readings near or above 30°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations; any late-day clearing could nudge the outcome toward 29°C, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support the market’s leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,395Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C maximum (61% implied probability) for Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, with 29°C a distant second at 32%.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h are suppressing daytime heating and limiting solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the long-term September 1 average maximum of 31.2°C recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory. Multiple forecast models show afternoon peaks clustered between 27–29°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and dew points near 24–25°C, which further dampen the diurnal temperature range. Recent model runs have converged on this cooler, unsettled regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow readings near or above 30°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations; any late-day clearing could nudge the outcome toward 29°C, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support the market’s leading outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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