Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models project a daily maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm potential that limits full solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology while recent model runs show slight cooling from increased moisture and easterly wind shifts. Trader consensus at 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.0%) reflects the narrow expected range around the 31°C guidance midpoint, with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ stemming from model spread and typical verification uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 1° settembre?
30°C 44%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
44%
31°C
32%
32°C
9%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
25°C or below
$266 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$98 Vol.
4%
28°C
$58 Vol.
5%
29°C
$148 Vol.
16%
30°C
$171 Vol.
44%
31°C
$70 Vol.
32%
32°C
$69 Vol.
9%
33°C
$5 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models project a daily maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm potential that limits full solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology while recent model runs show slight cooling from increased moisture and easterly wind shifts. Trader consensus at 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.0%) reflects the narrow expected range around the 31°C guidance midpoint, with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ stemming from model spread and typical verification uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,184Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models project a daily maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm potential that limits full solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology while recent model runs show slight cooling from increased moisture and easterly wind shifts. Trader consensus at 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.0%) reflects the narrow expected range around the 31°C guidance midpoint, with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ stemming from model spread and typical verification uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,184Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models project a daily maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm potential that limits full solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology while recent model runs show slight cooling from increased moisture and easterly wind shifts. Trader consensus at 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.0%) reflects the narrow expected range around the 31°C guidance midpoint, with lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C+ stemming from model spread and typical verification uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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