Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 64–66°F for San Francisco on August 29 amid a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore flow, following a brief mid-week warm-up to the low 70s. This pattern favors the closely matched 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins that together command about 70% of trader volume, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the official point forecast while typical downtown-to-airport microclimate differences add resolution uncertainty. Breezy west winds and partial morning cloud cover limit afternoon warming relative to the 69.7°F climatological average, keeping higher outcomes like 70–71°F at just 16%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 29 agosto?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 35%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
57°F o inferiore
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76°F o superiore
<1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 35%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
57°F o inferiore
$188 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$40 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$21 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$78 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$614 Vol.
36%
68-69°F
$510 Vol.
35%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$78 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$39 Vol.
1%
76°F o superiore
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 64–66°F for San Francisco on August 29 amid a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore flow, following a brief mid-week warm-up to the low 70s. This pattern favors the closely matched 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins that together command about 70% of trader volume, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the official point forecast while typical downtown-to-airport microclimate differences add resolution uncertainty. Breezy west winds and partial morning cloud cover limit afternoon warming relative to the 69.7°F climatological average, keeping higher outcomes like 70–71°F at just 16%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,703Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 64–66°F for San Francisco on August 29 amid a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore flow, following a brief mid-week warm-up to the low 70s. This pattern favors the closely matched 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins that together command about 70% of trader volume, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the official point forecast while typical downtown-to-airport microclimate differences add resolution uncertainty. Breezy west winds and partial morning cloud cover limit afternoon warming relative to the 69.7°F climatological average, keeping higher outcomes like 70–71°F at just 16%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,703Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 64–66°F for San Francisco on August 29 amid a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore flow, following a brief mid-week warm-up to the low 70s. This pattern favors the closely matched 66–67°F and 68–69°F bins that together command about 70% of trader volume, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the official point forecast while typical downtown-to-airport microclimate differences add resolution uncertainty. Breezy west winds and partial morning cloud cover limit afternoon warming relative to the 69.7°F climatological average, keeping higher outcomes like 70–71°F at just 16%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti