Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models point to a high around 31–32°C in central Tokyo on August 28, amid a cooling trend after peaks near 35°C on the 25th. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day introduce uncertainty, as cloud cover and precipitation can cap afternoon heating while humidity and light winds limit overnight cooling. Short-range model runs show modest spread in maximum temperatures due to variable timing of any convective activity and steering flow. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the middle bins. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 28 agosto?
26°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
26°C or below
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C
100%
36°C or higher
100%
26°C or below 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
29°C 100%
26°C or below
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C
100%
36°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models point to a high around 31–32°C in central Tokyo on August 28, amid a cooling trend after peaks near 35°C on the 25th. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day introduce uncertainty, as cloud cover and precipitation can cap afternoon heating while humidity and light winds limit overnight cooling. Short-range model runs show modest spread in maximum temperatures due to variable timing of any convective activity and steering flow. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the middle bins. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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