**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 26 agosto?
16°C 61%
15°C 30%
17°C 12%
18°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
30%
16°C
61%
17°C
12%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 30%
17°C 12%
18°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
10°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$110 Vol.
1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
1%
14°C
$296 Vol.
4%
15°C
$295 Vol.
30%
16°C
$292 Vol.
61%
17°C
$554 Vol.
12%
18°C
$110 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,289Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,289Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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