Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear anticyclonic conditions over Warsaw on August 26, 2026, with high pressure promoting radiative heating under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds. This setup supports daytime maximums centered on 22–25 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C (33 %), 23 °C (36 %), and 24 °C (25.5 %). Differentiating these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface albedo, and exact timing of peak insolation; ensemble spreads show limited cloud or moisture intrusion but small differences in afternoon wind speeds that can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. No major frontal systems are expected to disrupt the pattern before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 26 agosto?
23°C 40%
22°C 33%
24°C 26%
21°C 8%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
33%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 40%
22°C 33%
24°C 26%
21°C 8%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
33%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear anticyclonic conditions over Warsaw on August 26, 2026, with high pressure promoting radiative heating under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds. This setup supports daytime maximums centered on 22–25 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 22 °C (33 %), 23 °C (36 %), and 24 °C (25.5 %). Differentiating these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface albedo, and exact timing of peak insolation; ensemble spreads show limited cloud or moisture intrusion but small differences in afternoon wind speeds that can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. No major frontal systems are expected to disrupt the pattern before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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