Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 24 agosto?
7°C o inferiore 90%
17°C o superiore 90%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
7°C o inferiore
90%
8°C
10%
9°C
14%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C o superiore
90%
7°C o inferiore 90%
17°C o superiore 90%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
7°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
90%
8°C
$0 Vol.
10%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$4 Vol.
11%
15°C
$5 Vol.
19%
16°C
$5 Vol.
19%
17°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$24Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 11–12 °C on August 24, with traders split between the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher outcomes due to uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clear skies enhance radiative cooling by allowing efficient longwave heat loss, potentially dropping minima below climatological norms of 12–13 °C, whereas increased low-level moisture or southerly advection could limit cooling and support higher readings. Short-range model runs show modest spread in these variables, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of updated guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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