Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 22 agosto?
22°C 40%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
32%
22°C
40%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$104 Vol.
9%
21°C
$83 Vol.
32%
22°C
$151 Vol.
40%
23°C
$293 Vol.
15%
24°C
$104 Vol.
5%
25°C
$30 Vol.
3%
26°C
$164 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$560 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,656Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,656Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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