Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 20 point to a daily maximum near 31–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, with the tightly bunched market prices reflecting model uncertainty over cloud cover and timing of any convective showers. Beijing’s monsoon-influenced climate features high humidity and variable insolation; afternoon thunderstorms, common in mid-August, can suppress peak temperatures by limiting surface heating while clear intervals allow stronger radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with historical mid-August averages near 30–31°C providing a baseline. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 20 agosto?
32°C 37%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
31%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 37%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
26°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$13 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
7%
30°C
$33 Vol.
10%
31°C
$5 Vol.
20%
32°C
$10 Vol.
31%
33°C
$18 Vol.
28%
34°C
$21 Vol.
8%
35°C
$22 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 20 point to a daily maximum near 31–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, with the tightly bunched market prices reflecting model uncertainty over cloud cover and timing of any convective showers. Beijing’s monsoon-influenced climate features high humidity and variable insolation; afternoon thunderstorms, common in mid-August, can suppress peak temperatures by limiting surface heating while clear intervals allow stronger radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with historical mid-August averages near 30–31°C providing a baseline. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$561Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 20 point to a daily maximum near 31–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, with the tightly bunched market prices reflecting model uncertainty over cloud cover and timing of any convective showers. Beijing’s monsoon-influenced climate features high humidity and variable insolation; afternoon thunderstorms, common in mid-August, can suppress peak temperatures by limiting surface heating while clear intervals allow stronger radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with historical mid-August averages near 30–31°C providing a baseline. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$561Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 20 point to a daily maximum near 31–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, with the tightly bunched market prices reflecting model uncertainty over cloud cover and timing of any convective showers. Beijing’s monsoon-influenced climate features high humidity and variable insolation; afternoon thunderstorms, common in mid-August, can suppress peak temperatures by limiting surface heating while clear intervals allow stronger radiative warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with historical mid-August averages near 30–31°C providing a baseline. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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