Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin limiting daytime heating, positioning 23–25°C as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. High humidity and topographic moisture trapping further suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 29–32°C, while variable precipitation timing creates resolution-critical uncertainty between those thresholds. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler trajectory, aligning trader consensus with the 24°C peak at 37% implied probability ahead of the August 18 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 agosto?
24°C 37%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
26°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
23%
24°C
37%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
23°C 23%
25°C 19%
26°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
3%
21°C
$57 Vol.
1%
22°C
$116 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,038 Vol.
23%
24°C
$3,088 Vol.
37%
25°C
$189 Vol.
19%
26°C
$262 Vol.
9%
27°C
$266 Vol.
4%
28°C
$174 Vol.
2%
29°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin limiting daytime heating, positioning 23–25°C as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. High humidity and topographic moisture trapping further suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 29–32°C, while variable precipitation timing creates resolution-critical uncertainty between those thresholds. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler trajectory, aligning trader consensus with the 24°C peak at 37% implied probability ahead of the August 18 resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,778Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin limiting daytime heating, positioning 23–25°C as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. High humidity and topographic moisture trapping further suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 29–32°C, while variable precipitation timing creates resolution-critical uncertainty between those thresholds. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler trajectory, aligning trader consensus with the 24°C peak at 37% implied probability ahead of the August 18 resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,778Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin limiting daytime heating, positioning 23–25°C as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 80%. High humidity and topographic moisture trapping further suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 29–32°C, while variable precipitation timing creates resolution-critical uncertainty between those thresholds. Updated model runs from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler trajectory, aligning trader consensus with the 24°C peak at 37% implied probability ahead of the August 18 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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