Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for 15 August points to sunny intervals with showers and a daytime range of 27–32 °C, placing the expected maximum near the middle of that band. Recent southwesterly flow has maintained above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31 °C and 32 °C because model guidance and local observations show modest uncertainty in peak solar heating once showers develop; even light rain or increased cloud cover can suppress the maximum by 1 °C, while clearer spells allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Historical August climatology and current humidity levels support this narrow spread, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of convective activity tracked by the Observatory’s updated bulletins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 agosto?
31°C 37%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 17%
$22,897 Vol.
$22,897 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
19%
31°C
37%
32°C
29%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 17%
$22,897 Vol.
$22,897 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
19%
31°C
37%
32°C
29%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for 15 August points to sunny intervals with showers and a daytime range of 27–32 °C, placing the expected maximum near the middle of that band. Recent southwesterly flow has maintained above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31 °C and 32 °C because model guidance and local observations show modest uncertainty in peak solar heating once showers develop; even light rain or increased cloud cover can suppress the maximum by 1 °C, while clearer spells allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Historical August climatology and current humidity levels support this narrow spread, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of convective activity tracked by the Observatory’s updated bulletins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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