Current short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 25–26°C under a moderate high-pressure ridge favoring daytime insolation, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, where small shifts in cloud timing, precipitation onset, or boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak registers at 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth persisting through the weekend. Resolution hinges on official station observations, with any heavier rain or earlier overcast conditions likely suppressing the daily high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 16 agosto?
25°C 33%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 33%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
21°C
$13 Vol.
3%
22°C
$13 Vol.
5%
23°C
$31 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
33%
26°C
$1 Vol.
28%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C
$36 Vol.
6%
29°C
$25 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 25–26°C under a moderate high-pressure ridge favoring daytime insolation, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, where small shifts in cloud timing, precipitation onset, or boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak registers at 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth persisting through the weekend. Resolution hinges on official station observations, with any heavier rain or earlier overcast conditions likely suppressing the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$154Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 25–26°C under a moderate high-pressure ridge favoring daytime insolation, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, where small shifts in cloud timing, precipitation onset, or boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak registers at 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth persisting through the weekend. Resolution hinges on official station observations, with any heavier rain or earlier overcast conditions likely suppressing the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$154Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 25–26°C under a moderate high-pressure ridge favoring daytime insolation, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band, where small shifts in cloud timing, precipitation onset, or boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak registers at 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly above-normal warmth persisting through the weekend. Resolution hinges on official station observations, with any heavier rain or earlier overcast conditions likely suppressing the daily high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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