Current forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14 amid typical summer humidity and urban heat effects, with isolated thunderstorms potentially moderating peaks. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability in steering patterns and moisture, keeping the distribution centered on these values rather than extremes. Historical August climatology in northern Taiwan supports mid-30s readings as common, while ongoing monsoon conditions reduce the likelihood of significantly cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 14 agosto?
36°C 50%
35°C 26%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
13%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
4%
36°C 50%
35°C 26%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
13%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14 amid typical summer humidity and urban heat effects, with isolated thunderstorms potentially moderating peaks. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability in steering patterns and moisture, keeping the distribution centered on these values rather than extremes. Historical August climatology in northern Taiwan supports mid-30s readings as common, while ongoing monsoon conditions reduce the likelihood of significantly cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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