Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and high humidity levels typically near 80%, drives trader focus on overnight lows of 28–29°C for August 12. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures, aligning with recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily lows in the 26–29°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages place minimums near 27°C, but current guidance shows limited cooling potential without significant frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover. Updated local forecasts and any revisions from monitoring agencies will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 12 agosto?
29°C 52%
28°C 33%
27°C 14%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
52%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 52%
28°C 33%
27°C 14%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$260 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$271 Vol.
2%
27°C
$369 Vol.
14%
28°C
$884 Vol.
33%
29°C
$1,396 Vol.
52%
30°C
$1,151 Vol.
4%
31°C
$272 Vol.
1%
32°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and high humidity levels typically near 80%, drives trader focus on overnight lows of 28–29°C for August 12. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures, aligning with recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily lows in the 26–29°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages place minimums near 27°C, but current guidance shows limited cooling potential without significant frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover. Updated local forecasts and any revisions from monitoring agencies will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,653Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and high humidity levels typically near 80%, drives trader focus on overnight lows of 28–29°C for August 12. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures, aligning with recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily lows in the 26–29°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages place minimums near 27°C, but current guidance shows limited cooling potential without significant frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover. Updated local forecasts and any revisions from monitoring agencies will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,653Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and high humidity levels typically near 80%, drives trader focus on overnight lows of 28–29°C for August 12. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures, aligning with recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting daily lows in the 26–29°C range amid scattered showers. Historical August averages place minimums near 27°C, but current guidance shows limited cooling potential without significant frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover. Updated local forecasts and any revisions from monitoring agencies will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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