Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, underpins trader consensus favoring 41°C or higher as the most probable peak for Jeddah on August 12. Long-term climatology shows August as the hottest month locally, with average highs near 37–38°C but frequent excursions above 40°C; recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather highlights potential peaks to 43°C amid low rainfall and high humidity from the Red Sea. Coastal moderation introduces forecast spread, keeping lower bins (below 40°C) at modest implied odds while reinforcing the market's tilt toward extreme readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Gedda il 12 agosto?
41°C o superiore 56%
40°C 27%
39°C 12%
38°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
12%
40°C
27%
41°C o superiore
56%
41°C o superiore 56%
40°C 27%
39°C 12%
38°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
$378 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,381 Vol.
1%
36°C
$789 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$405 Vol.
3%
38°C
$377 Vol.
5%
39°C
$283 Vol.
12%
40°C
$387 Vol.
27%
41°C o superiore
$1,229 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, underpins trader consensus favoring 41°C or higher as the most probable peak for Jeddah on August 12. Long-term climatology shows August as the hottest month locally, with average highs near 37–38°C but frequent excursions above 40°C; recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather highlights potential peaks to 43°C amid low rainfall and high humidity from the Red Sea. Coastal moderation introduces forecast spread, keeping lower bins (below 40°C) at modest implied odds while reinforcing the market's tilt toward extreme readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$5,970Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, underpins trader consensus favoring 41°C or higher as the most probable peak for Jeddah on August 12. Long-term climatology shows August as the hottest month locally, with average highs near 37–38°C but frequent excursions above 40°C; recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather highlights potential peaks to 43°C amid low rainfall and high humidity from the Red Sea. Coastal moderation introduces forecast spread, keeping lower bins (below 40°C) at modest implied odds while reinforcing the market's tilt toward extreme readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,970Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation, underpins trader consensus favoring 41°C or higher as the most probable peak for Jeddah on August 12. Long-term climatology shows August as the hottest month locally, with average highs near 37–38°C but frequent excursions above 40°C; recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather highlights potential peaks to 43°C amid low rainfall and high humidity from the Red Sea. Coastal moderation introduces forecast spread, keeping lower bins (below 40°C) at modest implied odds while reinforcing the market's tilt toward extreme readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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