Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'11 agosto?
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
27°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
14%
29°C
47%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 14%
27°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$34 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$31 Vol.
14%
29°C
$15 Vol.
47%
30°C
$89 Vol.
28%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$49 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C o superiore
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$363Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$363Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's ongoing heatwave, amplified by Typhoon Dolphin's warm-air advection, has produced record daytime maxima near 37°C and is elevating overnight minima through persistent subtropical ridging and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate continued above-normal temperatures through mid-August, with August 11 expected to remain under partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor minimum readings clustered around 28–30°C rather than typical seasonal values near 26°C. Traders have priced the 29°C outcome highest because recent observational trends and short-range forecasts show little prospect for significant nocturnal cooling or frontal passages before the date, while probabilities for 27°C or below remain constrained by the entrenched warm pattern. Updated HKO daily guidance and any shift in steering flow could still adjust these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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