Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi l'11 agosto?
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 11%
14°C o inferiore
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C o superiore
1%
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 11%
14°C o inferiore
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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