Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 8 points to mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with isolated showers or thunderstorms possible later, supporting a daily maximum in the 34–35°C range amid weak west-to-northwest winds. Subtropical summer patterns, regional warming trends, and the urban heat island effect in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island favor these peaks, consistent with the agency’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection or minor shifts in steering flow could cap readings at 34°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 32–33°C, with resolution hinging on the official urban station reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong l'8 agosto?
34°C 42%
35°C 36%
36°C 17%
33°C 8%
$39,100 Vol.
$39,100 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
42%
35°C
36%
36°C
17%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
35°C 36%
36°C 17%
33°C 8%
$39,100 Vol.
$39,100 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
42%
35°C
36%
36°C
17%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 8 points to mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with isolated showers or thunderstorms possible later, supporting a daily maximum in the 34–35°C range amid weak west-to-northwest winds. Subtropical summer patterns, regional warming trends, and the urban heat island effect in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island favor these peaks, consistent with the agency’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook. Model consensus shows limited spread, though afternoon convection or minor shifts in steering flow could cap readings at 34°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August maxima near 32–33°C, with resolution hinging on the official urban station reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti