Traders assign the highest probability to a 38°C peak on August 9 in Guangzhou, followed closely by 37°C and 36°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spreads that center on 36–38°C. Subtropical high pressure is currently promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing strong solar insolation and surface heating in this humid subtropical climate where August averages hover near 33°C. Recent model runs show modest differences in cloud cover and low-level moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a small upward bias. With only two days until resolution, updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will likely tighten the distribution around these leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 9 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 9 agosto?
38°C 30%
37°C 21%
36°C 16%
39°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
16%
37°C
21%
38°C
30%
39°C
14%
40°C
8%
41°C o superiore
<1%
38°C 30%
37°C 21%
36°C 16%
39°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$12 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
2%
34°C
$32 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
13%
36°C
$0 Vol.
16%
37°C
$0 Vol.
21%
38°C
$6 Vol.
30%
39°C
$0 Vol.
14%
40°C
$0 Vol.
8%
41°C o superiore
$1,598 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 38°C peak on August 9 in Guangzhou, followed closely by 37°C and 36°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spreads that center on 36–38°C. Subtropical high pressure is currently promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing strong solar insolation and surface heating in this humid subtropical climate where August averages hover near 33°C. Recent model runs show modest differences in cloud cover and low-level moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a small upward bias. With only two days until resolution, updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will likely tighten the distribution around these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,672Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 38°C peak on August 9 in Guangzhou, followed closely by 37°C and 36°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spreads that center on 36–38°C. Subtropical high pressure is currently promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing strong solar insolation and surface heating in this humid subtropical climate where August averages hover near 33°C. Recent model runs show modest differences in cloud cover and low-level moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a small upward bias. With only two days until resolution, updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will likely tighten the distribution around these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,672Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 38°C peak on August 9 in Guangzhou, followed closely by 37°C and 36°C, reflecting ensemble forecast spreads that center on 36–38°C. Subtropical high pressure is currently promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing strong solar insolation and surface heating in this humid subtropical climate where August averages hover near 33°C. Recent model runs show modest differences in cloud cover and low-level moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta add a small upward bias. With only two days until resolution, updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will likely tighten the distribution around these leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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