Recent ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend after early-August heat, with daytime maxima in Munich projected near 23–26°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible showers. This underpins the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, where model spread and local urban heat-island effects create the observed dispersion. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon insolation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; newer model runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution based on official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 7 agosto?
27°C 35%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
21°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
2%
23°C
$25 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
8%
26°C
$50 Vol.
22%
27°C
$20 Vol.
35%
28°C
$47 Vol.
23%
29°C
$24 Vol.
6%
30°C
$29 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$35 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend after early-August heat, with daytime maxima in Munich projected near 23–26°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible showers. This underpins the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, where model spread and local urban heat-island effects create the observed dispersion. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon insolation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; newer model runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$330Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend after early-August heat, with daytime maxima in Munich projected near 23–26°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible showers. This underpins the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, where model spread and local urban heat-island effects create the observed dispersion. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon insolation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; newer model runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$330Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend after early-August heat, with daytime maxima in Munich projected near 23–26°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible showers. This underpins the market’s concentration around 26–28°C outcomes, where model spread and local urban heat-island effects create the observed dispersion. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon insolation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; newer model runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution based on official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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