Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 5, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency models, point to mostly cloudy skies with possible showers and highs centered near 29–31°C, explaining the market's concentration of implied probability (over 80% combined) on those three outcomes. Typical early-August conditions feature average highs of 31°C amid high humidity and the influence of the subtropical ridge, with limited intensification expected absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range outlooks indicate no extreme heat anomalies or typhoon influences through the period. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational confirmation on the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 5 agosto?
30°C 38%
31°C 26%
29°C 20%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
20%
30°C
38%
31°C
26%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
31°C 26%
29°C 20%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
$52 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$340 Vol.
1%
27°C
$49 Vol.
2%
28°C
$232 Vol.
8%
29°C
$164 Vol.
20%
30°C
$229 Vol.
38%
31°C
$59 Vol.
26%
32°C
$121 Vol.
9%
33°C
$69 Vol.
4%
34°C
$52 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$62 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 5, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency models, point to mostly cloudy skies with possible showers and highs centered near 29–31°C, explaining the market's concentration of implied probability (over 80% combined) on those three outcomes. Typical early-August conditions feature average highs of 31°C amid high humidity and the influence of the subtropical ridge, with limited intensification expected absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range outlooks indicate no extreme heat anomalies or typhoon influences through the period. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational confirmation on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,428Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 5, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency models, point to mostly cloudy skies with possible showers and highs centered near 29–31°C, explaining the market's concentration of implied probability (over 80% combined) on those three outcomes. Typical early-August conditions feature average highs of 31°C amid high humidity and the influence of the subtropical ridge, with limited intensification expected absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range outlooks indicate no extreme heat anomalies or typhoon influences through the period. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational confirmation on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,428Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tokyo on August 5, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency models, point to mostly cloudy skies with possible showers and highs centered near 29–31°C, explaining the market's concentration of implied probability (over 80% combined) on those three outcomes. Typical early-August conditions feature average highs of 31°C amid high humidity and the influence of the subtropical ridge, with limited intensification expected absent strong southerly flow or clear skies. Recent model runs show minor variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while longer-range outlooks indicate no extreme heat anomalies or typhoon influences through the period. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational confirmation on the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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