Recent forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow highs near 28–29°C on August 5, driven by a warm, stable air mass under weak high pressure with limited cloud cover or frontal activity expected to moderate peak readings. This aligns with trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, reflecting typical early-August variability above the long-term average of ~23–24°C while remaining below extreme heat thresholds. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainties in afternoon mixing and any late-day cooling, with newer runs reinforcing the mid-to-upper 20s range ahead of final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 5 agosto?
27°C 39%
26°C 20%
28°C 20%
25°C 17%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
39%
28°C
20%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C o superiore
2%
27°C 39%
26°C 20%
28°C 20%
25°C 17%
23°C or below
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
39%
28°C
20%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow highs near 28–29°C on August 5, driven by a warm, stable air mass under weak high pressure with limited cloud cover or frontal activity expected to moderate peak readings. This aligns with trader emphasis on 27°C and 28°C outcomes, reflecting typical early-August variability above the long-term average of ~23–24°C while remaining below extreme heat thresholds. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainties in afternoon mixing and any late-day cooling, with newer runs reinforcing the mid-to-upper 20s range ahead of final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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