Recent meteorological models and August climatology position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s daily maximum on August 5, reflecting typical subtropical high-pressure patterns and Black Sea/Marmara moderation that cap extreme heat. Long-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) but with consensus tightening toward 29°C as short-term guidance stabilizes; historical baselines average 28–29°C with low day-to-day variability in early August. No major heat-wave signals or frontal passages have emerged in the past week, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on these values while limiting probabilities above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 5 agosto?
29°C 67%
28°C 35%
30°C 22%
27°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
24°C o meno
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
35%
29°C
51%
30°C
22%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C o superiore
2%
29°C 67%
28°C 35%
30°C 22%
27°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
24°C o meno
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
12%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$12 Vol.
51%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$22 Vol.
3%
32°C
$10 Vol.
4%
33°C
$10 Vol.
2%
34°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological models and August climatology position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s daily maximum on August 5, reflecting typical subtropical high-pressure patterns and Black Sea/Marmara moderation that cap extreme heat. Long-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) but with consensus tightening toward 29°C as short-term guidance stabilizes; historical baselines average 28–29°C with low day-to-day variability in early August. No major heat-wave signals or frontal passages have emerged in the past week, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on these values while limiting probabilities above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$169Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological models and August climatology position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s daily maximum on August 5, reflecting typical subtropical high-pressure patterns and Black Sea/Marmara moderation that cap extreme heat. Long-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) but with consensus tightening toward 29°C as short-term guidance stabilizes; historical baselines average 28–29°C with low day-to-day variability in early August. No major heat-wave signals or frontal passages have emerged in the past week, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on these values while limiting probabilities above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$169Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological models and August climatology position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s daily maximum on August 5, reflecting typical subtropical high-pressure patterns and Black Sea/Marmara moderation that cap extreme heat. Long-range forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather show highs near 31–32°C (89–90°F) but with consensus tightening toward 29°C as short-term guidance stabilizes; historical baselines average 28–29°C with low day-to-day variability in early August. No major heat-wave signals or frontal passages have emerged in the past week, keeping market-implied odds concentrated on these values while limiting probabilities above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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